A demonstration of machine learning for explicit functions for cycle time prediction using MES data

Birkan Can, Cathal Heavey

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Cycle time prediction represents a challenging problem in complex manufacturing scenarios. This paper demonstrates an approach that uses genetic programming (GP) and effective process time (EPT) to predict cycle time using a discrete event simulation model of a production line, an approach that could be used in complex manufacturing systems, such as a semiconductor fab. These predictive models could be used to support control and planning of manufacturing systems. GP results in a more explicit function for cycle time prediction. The results of the proposed approach show a difference between 1-6% on the demonstrated production line.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2016 Winter Simulation Conference
Subtitle of host publicationSimulating Complex Service Systems, WSC 2016
EditorsTheresa M. Roeder, Peter I. Frazier, Robert Szechtman, Enlu Zhou
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages2500-2511
Number of pages12
ISBN (Electronic)9781509044863
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2 Jul 2016
Event2016 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2016 - Arlington, United States
Duration: 11 Dec 201614 Dec 2016

Publication series

NameProceedings - Winter Simulation Conference
Volume0
ISSN (Print)0891-7736

Conference

Conference2016 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2016
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityArlington
Period11/12/1614/12/16

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